Russia → 2040 Horizon
Turchin + Fisher + Phoenix Convergence
Turchin SDT (validated against Russian historical data): terminal integrative phase of secular cycle. Severe elite overproduction (intelligence officers, generals, oligarchs competing for shrinking sovereign pool).
Also in The Siloviki State
Vladimir PutinCentral Arbiter — Equilibrium NodeThe Siloviki ArchitectureCompeting Intelligence Clans — Suppressed Phase TrOligarch Management & War EconomyGovernance Technology — Sanctions as SyntaxWagner / Africa CorpsResource Extraction — Russia's Donroe DoctrineThe False Dialectic — Russia as Managed AdversaryJiang Test Applied — Unwitting Systemic Foil