Internal Pressures — Turchin + Ising + BCS
The Fault Lines That Could Break the Third Pole
Demographic dividend vs elite overproduction: median age 28 (vs China 39, US 38). But only 40% of working-age in formal labor force.
Also in The Variable That Breaks the Model
Narendra ModiCentral Executive Node — Civilizational State ArchIndiaStack — The Sovereign Digital SpineThird Path: Public Digital GoodsDefense Architecture & Israel ConnectionAtmanirbhar Bharat + India-Israel SymbiosisMulti-Alignment & IMEC vs BRIJaishankar Doctrine — The Swing StateIndia → 2040 HorizonThe Swing Variable — Autonomous or Captured?