◉ PSYCHOHISTORY

International Institute for Applied Systems Analysis

institutionMoney & Finance
The computer models that set bank capital rules today were built by an institute created to keep Cold War rivals talking.
Who they are

The International Institute for Applied Systems Analysis (IIASA), based in Austria.

What they do

It hosts the NGFS climate scenarios that central banks use to set capital requirements now, based on what the models predict for 2050.

How it works

IIASA is presented as producing integrated assessment models that trace how energy choices affect food, how land use affects climate, and how policy cascades through planetary systems. It became the central node for processing surveillance streams from the Global Environment Monitoring System. It was also built as a bridge between Eastern and Western scientific communities, with Aurelio Peccei playing a key role, and it has a funding line from the Rockefeller Foundation. The NGFS scenarios it hosts are what central banks use today.

Why it matters

It shows how a body set up for scientific cooperation now supplies the risk projections that shape capital rules for banks.

The engine's record — word for word
The corpus records: "The NGFS climate scenarios, hosted on servers at the International Institute for Applied Systems Analysis in Austria, produce risk projections that central banks use to set capital requirements today based on what the model predicts for 2050." It is presented publicly as: "The International Institute for Applied Systems Analysis produces integrated assessment models supposedly tracing how energy choices affect food systems, how land use influences climate, how policy decisions cascade through interconnected planetary systems." Documents named in the corpus: US-USSR environmental cooperation agreement; NGFS climate scenarios. Cross-sourced to clubofrome.org — documents cited by the corpus and retrieved independently of it.
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