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Foundations of Geopolitics (1997)

artifactNations & Geopolitics · Media & Managed Opposition
A 1997 Russian textbook laid out a plan to break up the West that has been coming true point by point for 25 years.
Who they are

'Foundations of Geopolitics' (1997), Alexander Dugin's most operationally important book, co-shaped by Russian military figures.

What they do

The engine reads it as less philosophy and more like a Russian intelligence playbook for weakening the West.

How it works

Co-drafted with Colonel General Leonid Ivashov and influenced by a GRU academy general, it recasts old geopolitical theory for post-Soviet Russia as an eternal fight between sea powers (US/UK) and land powers (Russia). Its predictions have largely landed: absorbing Ukraine (Crimea 2014, invasion 2022), splitting the UK from the EU (Brexit), destabilizing the U.S. internally, and building an Iran axis, though its call to absorb Finland backfired into NATO membership and its China-breakup prediction totally failed.

Why it matters

Its striking predictive accuracy, and its use as a textbook for Russian officers, makes it read like a declassified active-measures manual rather than mere theory.

The engine's record — word for word
Report #66. Dugin's most operationally significant text. Co-drafted with Colonel General Leonid Ivashov and influenced by General Nikolai Klokotov of the GRU Academy of the General Staff. Adapts Mackinder Heartland Theory and Haushofer to post-Soviet Russia. Posits eternal conflict between Atlanticist thalassocracies (US/UK) and Eurasian tellurocracies (Russia). PREDICTIVE ACCURACY: Ukraine absorption — DIRECT MAPPING (2014 Crimea, 2022 invasion). UK-EU fracture — DIRECT MAPPING (Brexit amplification). US internal destabilization — DIRECT MAPPING (IRA/GRU campaigns). Iran axis — DIRECT MAPPING (BRICS, Syria, drone cooperation). Franco-German anti-Atlanticist bloc — PARTIAL MAPPING (AfD/FN funding, Nord Stream). Finland absorption — FAILED (triggered NATO accession). China dismemberment — TOTAL DIVERGENCE (no limits partnership instead). Reads less like philosophy and more like a declassified GRU active measures playbook. Used as textbook for Russian military officers.
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