◉ PSYCHOHISTORY

Turchin SDT

framework
A scientist predicted the 2020s American turmoil a decade in advance using a simple three-part formula.
Who they are

Peter Turchin's structural-demographic theory (SDT), a framework, not an event.

What they do

The engine uses it as a model explaining why societies become politically unstable.

How it works

The theory says three things together — too many elites competing, ordinary people getting poorer, and government running out of money — produce political instability; Turchin used it in 2010 to predict US unrest in the 2020s.

Why it matters

It matters because it gives the engine a tested, predictive lens for reading social breakdown.

The engine's record — word for word
Peter Turchin's structural-demographic theory: elite overproduction + popular immiseration + state fiscal crisis = political instability. Predicted 2020s US instability (published 2010).
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