◉ PSYCHOHISTORY

Baykar / Bayraktar

playerNations & Geopolitics
A family-owned Turkish firm makes battlefield-proven drones at a fraction of US prices and now dominates the global market.
Who they are

Baykar, the Turkish maker of the Bayraktar drones, run by Selcuk Bayraktar (an Erdogan son-in-law) and Haluk Bayraktar.

What they do

The engine tracks it as a fast-rising defense exporter reshaping the drone market.

How it works

It posted $2.5 billion in 2025 revenue with 88% from exports, holds an estimated 65% of the global combat-drone export market, and sells its TB2 to 36 countries for under $500K each (versus $20M-plus for US Predators/Reapers). Its drones were battle-tested in Libya, Nagorno-Karabakh (250-plus tanks neutralized), and Ukraine, and it's developing the KAAN fighter and a drone carrier. Turkish defense exports crossed $10 billion in 2025.

Why it matters

It shows a mid-size power building world-leading, cheap, combat-proven military tech and grabbing dominant market share.

The engine's record — word for word
Selcuk Bayraktar (Erdogan son-in-law, $2.7B net worth) and Haluk Bayraktar ($2.4B). $2.5B total revenue 2025, 88% from exports. TB2 contracts with 36 countries, AKINCI with 16. 65% estimated global UCAV export market share. TB2 unit cost below $500K (vs $20M+ Predator/Reaper). Battle-tested: Libya (destroyed Pantsir systems), Nagorno-Karabakh (250+ tanks, 270 artillery neutralized), Ukraine (symbol of resistance). TCG Anadolu = worlds first drone carrier. KAAN 5th-gen fighter under development. Defense exports crossed $10B in 2025 (48% YoY growth).
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Part of the Psychohistory engine — 2,426 entities, 6,314 documented connections. Open data, built to be proven wrong.