Four-Dial Conflict Profile (Realism / Substrate-Alignment / Outcome-Invariance / Misdirection)

[Report #112 — Fault Lines] Method for reading elite feuds WITHOUT a one-box topology label. Each conflict is a profile across four INDEPENDENT gradient dials that can all be high at once: (1) STAKES-REALISM — genuine non-recoverable capital/risk actually contested; (2) SUBSTRATE-ALIGNMENT — shared owners/capital/infrastructure among the contestants; (3) OUTCOME-INVARIANCE — does the class win regardless of who wins the feud (the cartel signal); (4) MISDIRECTION-LOAD — how far the public framing diverges from the operative stake. The labels 'staged conflict / open war / hidden war / misdirection' are CORNERS of this space, not categories — most real feuds sit in the interior (e.g. genuinely vicious AND outcome-invariant AND misdirecting at once). CRITICAL: passive/index co-ownership feeds dials 2 and 3 ONLY; it is NOT evidence that a feud is staged (per Divergence #197 — shared class-interest, real rivalry). Replaces the binary 'real vs fake' grade. Held; Layer-2.